• 中文核心期刊
  • CSCD来源期刊
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • CA、CABI、ZR收录期刊

农村公共基础设施管护水平的时空评价及驱动因素研究——以福建省为例

A Case Study on Spatiotemporal Evaluation and Driving Factors of Rural Public Infrastructure Management and Maintenance in Fujian

  • 摘要:
    目的 研究福建省农村公共基础设施管护水平的时空分异特征及其驱动因素,为福建省推进公共基础服务能力,实现农业农村高质量发展提供理论依据和路径。
    方法 基于福建省2014—2023年的农村公共基础设施管护项目数量、供给主体支撑能力、需求主体规模和环境问题等相关数据,利用Arc GIS软件,运用空间自相关模型、地理探测器和时空地理加权回归模型分析了福建省83个县(市)区在10年内的农村公共基础设施管护水平的时空特征及其驱动因素,实现对管护水平空间格局、驱动因素交互效应及动态演化趋势的多维度量化分析,弥补了现有研究多静态或截面分析的不足。
    结果 从空间上看,福建省的农村公共基础设施管护水平不存在全局自相关,但存在局部集聚,并表现为明显的区域差异和阶段性变化;供给主体支撑能力是福建省公共基础设施管护水平变化的主要驱动因素,以一般公共预算支出和金融机构货币存贷款余额的交互作用解释力度最大;从时间上看,农村居民可支配收入、金融机构存贷余额、农村居民最低保障人数和在校学生数的拟合系数呈现出先上升后下降的态势;除社会消费品零售总额的零售总额持续上升外,其他驱动因素的拟合系数则表现为相反的趋势。这一研究深化了对管护水平区域差异驱动机制的理解。
    结论 应在标准体系构建、资金机制创新、动态调节、差异化扶持和绿色发展等方面形成合力,以全面提升福建省农村公共基础设施管护水平。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective Spatiotemporal differences and driving factors in the management and maintenance of the infrastructure in rural Fujian were studied to showcase some suggested improvements for the public service and agricultural development.
    Method Based on the database on the number, provided supports, scope of demand, and environmental issues of the projects for managing and maintaining the rural infrastructure in Fujian from 2014 to 2023, this paper utilized multiple tools including Arc GIS software, spatial autocorrelation model, geographic detector, and GTWR model to analyze the decade-long spatiotemporal characteristics and determining factors concerning the public service at 83 counties in the province. The multi-dimensional quantitative approach was applied to overcome the shortcomings of the currently existing static or cross-sectional analysis and afford a better understanding of the interactive effects played in the dynamic evolution of the program that is deemed to substantially contribute to the nation’s current effort in quality upgrading the economic development.
    Results From a spatial perspective, there is no universal autocorrelation, but local aggregation, on the rural infrastructure management in Fujian. Regional differentiations and periodical variation exist, but the prevailing driving force has been the support rendered by the providing entities. The differences between projects were largely brought about by the differentiated public expenditure budgeting and monetary deposit and loan balances in financial institutions. Temporally, as shown by the fitting coefficients, the rural residents' disposable income, financial institutions' deposit and loan balances, rural residents' minimum living allowance, and number of students in school in the regions rose first and then fell, while the total retail consumer goods sales continued to increase and those of the other factors on a U-trend. This study unveiled a deeper picture of the mechanisms that differentiated the projects executed in the province.
    Conclusion It appeared that a standardized system embracing a functional finance mechanism and dynamic and highly adaptable support and regulations with the target for green development would be highly desirable for managing the new age infrastructure in rural areas in Fujian as well as elsewhere in China.

     

/

返回文章
返回