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Volume 12 Issue 4
Apr.  2012
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Article Contents
Lin Chaozhong, Lu Tong, Zhong Zangwen, Gan Daiyao, Yu Yongyu, Lin Hongmian. Studies on Forecasting Model for Controlling the Prevalence of Rice Bacterial Blight in Paddy Fields in Lower Reaches of Ming River[J]. Fujian Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 1997, 12(4): 15-18.
Citation: Lin Chaozhong, Lu Tong, Zhong Zangwen, Gan Daiyao, Yu Yongyu, Lin Hongmian. Studies on Forecasting Model for Controlling the Prevalence of Rice Bacterial Blight in Paddy Fields in Lower Reaches of Ming River[J]. Fujian Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 1997, 12(4): 15-18.

Studies on Forecasting Model for Controlling the Prevalence of Rice Bacterial Blight in Paddy Fields in Lower Reaches of Ming River

  • Received Date: 1997-06-27
  • Publish Date: 1997-12-15
  • The prevalent pattern of rice bacterial blight had been observed for 23 years in rice paddy fields in lower reaches of Ming River, and the dominant factor of the disease prevalence was definited.By using progressive regression,three forecasting models for analysing multi factor prevalence have been established. x2 examination showed that,the fitting probabilities of the theoretical with practical data were 99.5%,the historial conformable rate reached 91.4%~100%. The preliminary forecasting results by using these models in 1995 and 1996 were conformed with the practice which the disease was lightly occured in this area.
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    农业部农作物病虫测报总站. 农作物主要病虫测报办法. 北京:农业出版社, 1981, 15~20
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    刘浩官, 林党恩, 祝卫华, 等. 闽南稻区三化螟电子计算机中、长期预测预报研究. 福建省农科院学报, 1987, 2(1):1~8
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