福建省粮食生产潜力影响因子及需求情况分析

Analysis on the effective factors of the grain potential productivity and the deficiency between demand and supply in Fujian Province

摘要: 探讨了耕地、生产技术及生态条件等因子对福建省粮食生产潜力的影响,在建立模型的基础上着重分析了耕地和生产技术等对耕地粮食生产潜力的影响力,并预测了2006~2020年的福建省粮食生产潜力。此外,通过对福建省粮食供求关系的预测,进一步分析了福建省未来耕地面积与粮食有效需求所要达到的耕地面积间可能出现的缺口情况。

Abstract: The effecta of agrarian area,productive technologies and ecological conditions on Fujian’s grain potential productivity were discussed.On the basis of module construction,the agrarian area and the productive technologies of potential productivity were analyzed.Based on the forecast of the grain potential productivity from 2006 to 2020,the relation between supply and demand of the grain and the deficiency of agrarian area was estimated.