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基于门控循环单元的基质栽培黄瓜结果期蒸散量预测模型

朱鑫 林琼 何淽琦 易志刚

朱鑫,林琼,何淽琦,等. 基于门控循环单元的基质栽培黄瓜结果期蒸散量预测模型 [J]. 福建农业学报,2024,39(X):1−9
引用本文: 朱鑫,林琼,何淽琦,等. 基于门控循环单元的基质栽培黄瓜结果期蒸散量预测模型 [J]. 福建农业学报,2024,39(X):1−9
ZHU X, LIN Q, HE Z Q, et al. Prediction Model of Evapotranspiration during the Fruit Period of Cucumber Grown in Substrate Based on Gated Recurrent Unit [J]. Fujian Journal of Agricultural Sciences,2024,39(X):1−9
Citation: ZHU X, LIN Q, HE Z Q, et al. Prediction Model of Evapotranspiration during the Fruit Period of Cucumber Grown in Substrate Based on Gated Recurrent Unit [J]. Fujian Journal of Agricultural Sciences,2024,39(X):1−9

基于门控循环单元的基质栽培黄瓜结果期蒸散量预测模型

基金项目: 福建省科技计划区域发展项目(2021N3008);福建省科技计划公益类专项(2020R1025006)
详细信息
    作者简介:

    朱鑫(1997 —),男,硕士研究生,主要从事机电一体化研究,E-mail:18438606867@163.com

    通讯作者:

    林琼(1972 —),男,副研究员,主要从事植物营养与无土栽培研究,E-mail:linqiong@163.com

  • 中图分类号: S161.4+2;TP312

Prediction Model of Evapotranspiration during the Fruit Period of Cucumber Grown in Substrate Based on Gated Recurrent Unit

  • 摘要:   目的  实时、准确地预测基质栽培黄瓜结果期蒸散量,指导基质栽培黄瓜灌溉。  方法  通过传感器实时获取黄瓜结果期的温室小气候环境数据,用称量法测量黄瓜蒸散量,以移栽时间、空气温度、空气相对湿度、光照强度及前5天的日均灌溉量为输入,利用BP神经网络(Back Propagation Neural Network, BPNN)、卷积神经网络(Convolutional Neural Networks, CNN)、长短期记忆网络(Long Short-Term Memory, LSTM)和门控循环单元(Gated recurrent unit, GRU)分别建立基质栽培黄瓜蒸散量预测模型,比较不同模型的预测效果,模型数据集的时间间隔设为20 min。  结果  相较于BPNN、CNN及LSTM模型,GRU模型的预测效果最好,其决定系数(R2)、均方根误差(RMSE)、平均绝对误差(MAE)分别为0.8577、2.3279 g和1.6744 g。当实测的黄瓜每日实时累积蒸散量超过50 g时,GRU模型预测的黄瓜每日实时累积蒸散量与实测每日实时累积蒸散量之间的相对误差波动最小,在0.11%~10.01%。  结论  基于GRU的基质栽培黄瓜结果期蒸散量预测模型预测效果最好,可为基质栽培黄瓜的灌溉系统提供参考。
  • 图  1  黄瓜叶面积、黄瓜日均蒸散量与黄瓜日均灌溉量的关系

    Figure  1.  The Relationship between Cucumber Leaf Area, Cucumber Daily Average Evapotranspiration, and Cucumber Daily Average Irrigation

    图  2  不同模型预测值与实测值的相关曲线

    Figure  2.  Correlation curves between predicted and measured values of different models

    图  3  黄瓜每日实时累积蒸散量曲线

    Figure  3.  Daily real-time cumulative evapotranspiration curve of cucumber

    表  1  GRU不同网络参数下的RMSE

    Table  1.   RMSE of GRU under different network parameters                  (单位:g)

    时间步长
    Time step
    隐含层节点数
    Number of hidden layer nodes
    5 10 15
    12 2.4318 2.6083 2.6658
    24 2.3279 2.3469 2.3374
    36 2.4995 2.3547 2.4304
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  2  GRU不同网络参数下的MAE

    Table  2.   MAE of GRU under different network parameters                   (单位:g)

    时间步长
    Time step
    隐含层节点数
    Number of hidden layer nodes
    5 10 15
    12 1.6457 1.8546 1.9906
    24 1.6744 1.6997 1.6951
    36 1.8922 1.8152 1.8680
    下载: 导出CSV

    表  3  黄瓜每日实时累积蒸散量相对误差

    Table  3.   Relative error of daily real-time cumulative evapotranspiration of cucumbers    (单位:%)

    模型 Model 日期 Date
    2023-05-12 2023-05-13 2023-05-14
    BP神经网络 23.50±20.03 36.69±28.72 17.51±16.35
    CNN 8.73±8.73 7.74±7.59 14.27±14.01
    LSTM 3.56±3.43 4.85±4.63 6.41±6.35
    GRU 2.04±1.93 5.63±4.38 3.24±2.52
    下载: 导出CSV
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  • 收稿日期:  2023-12-21
  • 录用日期:  2024-05-22
  • 修回日期:  2024-01-15
  • 网络出版日期:  2024-06-26

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